Week 11 Gambling Tips
I loved the board, adored the board, wanted to marry the board in Week 10, and what did all that lead to? A week where I barely got to .500 by the skin of my teeth, going 9-9-2 for an overall record on the season of 77-51-4. Winners were Eastern Michigan, Army Air Force under, K-State, Pitt, Arizona, Oklahoma State, Mississippi State, Utah State, and UTSA. Lost on Ohio State, LA Tech UAB under, Wake Forest, Miami, Georgia, Cincinnati, Auburn A&M over, Iowa, Oregon State. Pushes were Coastal and Hawaii. Still an unbelievable record on the season, but one that I’m looking to improve in Week 11. Can’t rest on my laurels, can’t get complacent. Need to finish strong, here we go.
North Carolina @ Pitt over 72
Points points points points points, we’ve got two good offenses and two subpar defenses, need a shootout
Wisconsin -24.5 vs Northwestern
Wisconsin has found their groove and Northwestern is just god awful, this won’t be a pretty game.
Penn State moneyline +105 vs Michigan
Penn State under James Franklin has been known to get up for the big games, they played Ohio State very tough on the road a few weeks ago and is coming off a comfortable win over Maryland. At home, the environment will be rocking, they’re going to hand Michigan their second loss of the season and end their playoff hopes.
New Mexico State +51 @ Alabama
Fun fact: in Nick Saban’s career at Alabama, they have only covered a 50+ point spread ONE time. Numbers say take the points, NMSU isn’t completely and totally awful, Bama will put the third stringers in and win something like 52-13.
Miami -2.5 @ Florida State
Miami has gotten right, the Georgia Tech game was not as close as the score indicated. Tyler Van Dyke is going to tear Florida State’s pass defense apart and the Hurricanes win comfortably.
Missouri PK vs South Carolina
Phenomenal letdown spot for the Gamecocks, after a huge upset win at home against Florida, then going on the road almost halfway across the country to Columbia, Missouri to play a team that, at least covered the spread??? against Georgia a week ago. I think the balloon bursts for the Gamecocks here and Missouri gets the win.
UTEP -1 @ North Texas
Picks Up, go Miners
Stanford +12.5 @ Oregon State
I think the Beavs win, but I find it hard to believe Stanford gets blown out in back to back weeks, they’ll keep this one close.
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss under 57
The Ole Miss offense gets more credit than it deserves, they have an awesome quarterback and a good running back, but they don’t have receivers that keep you up at night. Meanwhile the Aggies have an awesome defense that will keep Corral in check, and they also don’t have an offense that scares you. This feels like a 24-17 game.
LSU +3 vs Arkansas
LSU got a big boost of confidence a week ago by hanging with Alabama on the road, they’ll come back home to a great environment to play an Arkansas team that was very fortunate to escape with a win against Mississippi State, I think this is a super tight game that LSU could very well win outright.
Kansas +31 @ Texas
I mean, how can you in good conscience trust Texas to cover this big of a spread against ANYBODY? This is a series that has been relatively close by Kansas football standards, with the Jayhawks winning in 2016 and playing them to a 50-48 nail biter in 2019. Texas will win fairly comfortably, but this is way too many points to give up.
Nevada moneyline +130 @ San Diego State
SDSU’s strength is their defense, but I think Carson Strong and the Nevada offense will still be able to put points on the board and the subpar SDSU offense won’t be able to keep up.