Certainly didn’t have my best week in week 6, going 7-6 (bringing the total record to 50-30-2) felt worse than it should have given the loss on my mortal lock, South Alabama. Winners were Coastal Carolina, Ohio State, Georgia and the under, Wisconsin Illinois under, Iowa, and TCU. Lost on Texas (terrible break), West Virginia, Wake Forest, South Alabama, Notre Dame Virginia Tech under, and Alabama (which I am totally fine with losing given the outcome). I know that I can be better for the people, and I vow to do just that. No more messing around, getting back to my roots. Let’s ride.
Clemson @ Syracuse over 44
In the last two weeks Syracuse has scored 30 and 37 points. They lost both games. I know we’ve buried Clemson’s offense, we buried DJU, but coming off a bye week against a bad defense I think they’ll play their best game of the year, win the game fairly comfortably and get over this total.
Florida -11.5 @ LSU
LSU has absolutely quit. Their two best players in Derek Stingley Jr. and Kayshon Boutte are both out, Ed Orgeron is a dead man walking at this point, knowing full well he’s going to be fired. Florida had a bad loss to Kentucky, but I think they’re a better team than that and practically had a week off in Week 6 by playing Vanderbilt. Florida will be seeking revenge from LSU ruining their playoff chances a year ago in “the shoe game,” they’re going to walk into Tiger Stadium and beat the brakes off of LSU, maaaaaaybe even ending the Ed Orgeron tenure here and now.
Missouri +9.5 vs Texas A&M
There isn’t a better time to bet against a team than when one week they have a shocking upset, over number 1 Alabama, at night, at home, and then the next week go on the road, at 11:00 local time, to play a team that people forget is even in the conference. I wouldn’t put it past the Aggies to lose the game outright.
Cincinnati -21.5 vs UCF
While this isn’t the blockbuster game many would’ve thought before the season due to how UCF has looked since the injury to Dillon Gabriel, the Bearcats’ crowd will still be fired up. UCF simply isn’t the team we’ve grown accustomed to this year. Cincinnati is rolling right now and it continues this weekend.
Oklahoma State @ Texas over 59.5
While Oklahoma State’s defense is good, I think they’ve benefitted from playing weak offenses so far; Baylor’s strength is their defense, K-State had a second and third string quarterback in at the time, Boise State isn’t the Boise of old, etc. Texas’ offense has been humming since they put Casey Thompson in, their defense completely fell apart in the second half against Oklahoma, I think this game is played in the 30s.
Auburn moneyline +170 @ Arkansas
Idk, this just feels like how the SEC West is going to play out this year.
Arizona @ Colorado under 46.5
I would take this pick even if it was 36.5. Against FBS opponents, Colorado has scored 7, 0, 13, and 14 points. Against all opponents period, Arizona has scored 16, 14, 19, 19, and 16. Game in the altitude, nobody’s scoring points here.
Texas Tech -17.5 @ Kansas
This is the smallest spread in a Kansas conference game you’ll be able to bet all year, don’t squander this opportunity.
Louisiana Monroe +32.5 vs Liberty
I know ULM is bad, but the Flames haven’t covered a spread this big against an FBS opponent all season, including Old Dominion who’s arguably worse. The Warhawks have not been completely-totally-terrible, they have an upset win over Troy to their name. Liberty will win comfortably, but this is too many points on the road.
Mississippi State +17 vs Alabama
I’m zigging while everyone else zags. Everyone is making the jokes about how Alabama is going to take out their anger on the Bulldogs, but what I see is an Alabama team that has been two completely different teams at home versus away. They needed a failed two point conversion to escape The Swamp alive, and obviously got beat at Kyle Field a week ago. Mississippi State, whether they’re the better team or the worse team, manages to keep every game close, I think they stay within the number even if it takes a backdoor cover to get there.
Tennessee +2.5 vs Ole Miss
I want to bet the over in this game so bad, but it’s just a dash too high for my liking. Instead I’ll roll with the home team getting points. Word on the street is Tennessee fans are going to checker Neyland Stadium, there’s excitement in the program, I can’t in good conscience bet against them on this day. Also, I may or may not have a side bet on the Ole Miss win total with Bayou Billy and need the Rebels to drop a game…
Kansas State moneyline +215 vs Iowa State
Screw it, why not? Go Cats.
Army +14 @ Wisconsin
I know Wisconsin pitched a shutout a week ago against Illinois, but I think Army has a better defense than Illinois and will be able to slow the game down, score on some long drives, and keep this game close.
Washington -1.5 vs UCLA
Why is Washington favored here? Exactly. Take Washington.
Nevada -14.5 vs Hawaii
Nevada is a good team that still has a strong opportunity to win the Mountain West. Not only is Hawaii not a good team already, but they historically play much worse on the mainland. Nevada in a total blowout.